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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.36+5.34vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.38+7.95vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.38+3.37vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.15+6.85vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68+7.71vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.54-0.28vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.74-1.88vs Predicted
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8University of Florida2.20-0.89vs Predicted
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10Clemson University1.88-2.08vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology1.40-1.24vs Predicted
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12University of Miami2.83-7.15vs Predicted
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13Florida State University2.08-5.46vs Predicted
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14Duke University1.19-3.60vs Predicted
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15University of Tennessee0.99-3.55vs Predicted
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16University of South Carolina1.32-5.96vs Predicted
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17Embry-Riddle University0.23-3.24vs Predicted
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18Auburn University-1.97-0.06vs Predicted
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19University of Georgia-1.71-1.29vs Predicted
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20University of North Carolina-0.11-5.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.34College of Charleston2.360.1%1st Place
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9.95North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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6.37Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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10.85Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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12.71University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.0%1st Place
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5.72University of South Florida2.540.1%1st Place
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5.12Eckerd College2.740.1%1st Place
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7.11University of Florida2.200.1%1st Place
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7.92Clemson University1.880.1%1st Place
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9.76Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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4.85University of Miami2.830.1%1st Place
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7.54Florida State University2.080.1%1st Place
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10.4Duke University1.190.0%1st Place
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11.45University of Tennessee0.990.0%1st Place
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10.04University of South Carolina1.320.0%1st Place
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13.76Embry-Riddle University0.230.0%1st Place
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17.94Auburn University-1.970.0%1st Place
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17.71University of Georgia-1.710.0%1st Place
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14.45University of North Carolina-0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Thompson | 7.5% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Lawless | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Salomon | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Cassie Todd | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Michael Trebilcock | 13.4% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Nelson | 11.9% | 14.3% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Roberts | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Reddaway | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 13.6% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Miao | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| John Lindahl | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Margaux Bacro-Duverger | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jacqueline Taylor | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 19.0% | 9.5% | 1.6% |
| Jonathan Ashworth | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 7.1% | 28.1% | 54.5% |
| Michael Stolorena | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 8.8% | 40.1% | 38.8% |
| Sage Stahmer | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 23.0% | 13.7% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.