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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.36+5.31vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.74+3.14vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.38+3.36vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+5.86vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.54+0.94vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.83-1.13vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.15+3.77vs Predicted
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8University of Florida2.20-0.93vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina1.32+1.03vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.38-0.17vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68+1.46vs Predicted
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13Clemson University1.88-4.67vs Predicted
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14Duke University1.19-3.59vs Predicted
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15University of Tennessee0.99-3.52vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University0.23-2.33vs Predicted
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17Florida State University2.08-9.80vs Predicted
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18University of Georgia-1.71-0.35vs Predicted
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19University of North Carolina-0.11-4.19vs Predicted
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20Auburn University-1.97-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.31College of Charleston2.360.1%1st Place
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5.14Eckerd College2.740.1%1st Place
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6.36Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.86Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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5.94University of South Florida2.540.1%1st Place
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4.87University of Miami2.830.2%1st Place
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10.77Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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7.07University of Florida2.200.1%1st Place
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10.03University of South Carolina1.320.0%1st Place
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9.83North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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12.46University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.0%1st Place
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8.33Clemson University1.880.1%1st Place
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10.41Duke University1.190.0%1st Place
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11.48University of Tennessee0.990.0%1st Place
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13.67Embry-Riddle University0.230.0%1st Place
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7.2Florida State University2.080.1%1st Place
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17.65University of Georgia-1.710.0%1st Place
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14.81University of North Carolina-0.110.0%1st Place
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17.8Auburn University-1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Thompson | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Nelson | 14.1% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Lawless | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Reddaway | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Trebilcock | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 16.0% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Salomon | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margaux Bacro-Duverger | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| David Rogers | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Cassie Todd | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| John Roberts | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Miao | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| John Lindahl | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Jacqueline Taylor | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 19.4% | 10.8% | 2.3% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Stolorena | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 34.8% | 42.7% |
| Sage Stahmer | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 16.4% | 24.1% | 13.9% | 4.1% |
| Jonathan Ashworth | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 8.3% | 30.6% | 49.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.