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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.38+5.31vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.83+2.97vs Predicted
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3Duke University1.19+7.62vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+5.81vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.36+1.50vs Predicted
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6Clemson University1.88+2.05vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.74-1.78vs Predicted
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8Florida State University2.08-0.52vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.54-4.36vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina1.32-0.92vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina-0.11+2.74vs Predicted
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13University of Florida2.20-5.84vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.15-3.43vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University0.23-1.08vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68-3.77vs Predicted
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17University of Tennessee0.99-5.74vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University1.38-8.16vs Predicted
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19Auburn University-1.97-0.94vs Predicted
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20University of Georgia-1.71-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.31Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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4.97University of Miami2.830.2%1st Place
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10.62Duke University1.190.0%1st Place
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9.81Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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6.5College of Charleston2.360.1%1st Place
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8.05Clemson University1.880.1%1st Place
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5.22Eckerd College2.740.1%1st Place
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7.48Florida State University2.080.1%1st Place
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5.64University of South Florida2.540.1%1st Place
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10.08University of South Carolina1.320.0%1st Place
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14.74University of North Carolina-0.110.0%1st Place
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7.16University of Florida2.200.1%1st Place
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10.57Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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13.92Embry-Riddle University0.230.0%1st Place
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12.23University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.0%1st Place
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11.26University of Tennessee0.990.0%1st Place
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9.84North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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18.06Auburn University-1.970.0%1st Place
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17.54University of Georgia-1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Lawless | 8.4% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 15.8% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Miao | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| John Reddaway | 2.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Thompson | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Roberts | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Nelson | 12.8% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Trebilcock | 11.9% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margaux Bacro-Duverger | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sage Stahmer | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 16.5% | 25.0% | 15.3% | 2.9% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Salomon | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacqueline Taylor | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 17.6% | 20.1% | 9.9% | 1.1% |
| Cassie Todd | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| John Lindahl | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Ashworth | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 7.3% | 27.9% | 55.6% |
| Michael Stolorena | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 9.2% | 36.8% | 39.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.