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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.74+4.18vs Predicted
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2University of Florida2.20+4.98vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.36+3.39vs Predicted
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4Clemson University1.88+4.07vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.15+5.95vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.54-0.27vs Predicted
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7University of Miami2.83-2.18vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University2.38-1.50vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+0.70vs Predicted
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10University of Tennessee0.99+1.22vs Predicted
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11Florida State University2.08-3.64vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University0.23+2.09vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina1.32-3.00vs Predicted
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14Duke University1.19-3.28vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University1.38-6.25vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68-4.68vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina-0.11-3.37vs Predicted
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19Auburn University-1.97-0.95vs Predicted
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20University of Georgia-1.71-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.18Eckerd College2.740.1%1st Place
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6.98University of Florida2.200.1%1st Place
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6.39College of Charleston2.360.1%1st Place
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8.07Clemson University1.880.0%1st Place
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10.95Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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5.73University of South Florida2.540.1%1st Place
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4.82University of Miami2.830.1%1st Place
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6.5Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.7Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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11.22University of Tennessee0.990.0%1st Place
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7.36Florida State University2.080.1%1st Place
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14.09Embry-Riddle University0.230.0%1st Place
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10.0University of South Carolina1.320.0%1st Place
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10.72Duke University1.190.0%1st Place
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9.75North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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12.32University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.0%1st Place
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14.63University of North Carolina-0.110.0%1st Place
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18.05Auburn University-1.970.0%1st Place
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17.54University of Georgia-1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geoffrey Nelson | 11.3% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Thompson | 10.6% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Roberts | 4.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Salomon | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Michael Trebilcock | 13.2% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 14.4% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Lawless | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Reddaway | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| John Lindahl | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacqueline Taylor | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 17.1% | 21.5% | 9.5% | 1.5% |
| Margaux Bacro-Duverger | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Miao | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Cassie Todd | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 9.9% | 3.9% | 0.1% |
| Sage Stahmer | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 26.4% | 15.5% | 3.5% |
| Jonathan Ashworth | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 7.2% | 28.0% | 55.3% |
| Michael Stolorena | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 37.5% | 39.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.