Race 12A

women-regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Haley Powell 8.0% 6.6% 8.4% 9.8% 8.4% 7.1% 9.1% 9.2% 11.9% 9.1% 7.8% 3.9% 0.7%
Stephanie Hudson 13.5% 12.2% 12.6% 12.2% 11.8% 8.9% 8.2% 6.6% 6.3% 4.0% 2.4% 1.2% 0.1%
Jennifer Adler 12.4% 15.1% 13.9% 8.6% 11.7% 10.7% 8.6% 6.4% 5.7% 4.4% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
Chandler Salisbury 10.4% 10.8% 10.1% 11.6% 9.9% 8.6% 9.3% 8.1% 7.9% 6.7% 4.9% 1.4% 0.3%
Catherine Swanson 11.7% 12.2% 9.2% 11.7% 9.0% 10.9% 7.8% 8.6% 6.5% 5.9% 4.3% 2.1% 0.1%
Alexandra Arntsen 7.8% 7.5% 7.7% 9.2% 8.3% 6.9% 9.7% 10.7% 8.9% 8.8% 9.9% 4.2% 0.4%
Genoa Warner 10.8% 9.1% 10.3% 8.6% 8.3% 9.9% 10.1% 9.0% 7.4% 7.6% 5.4% 2.9% 0.6%
Liv Gunnarsson 7.0% 8.1% 7.8% 7.3% 6.9% 11.4% 9.0% 9.0% 9.9% 11.1% 7.1% 4.8% 0.6%
Morgan Russom 7.3% 6.2% 6.4% 7.6% 8.3% 8.8% 9.4% 10.0% 10.0% 9.3% 9.4% 6.1% 1.2%
Erica Lush 4.1% 4.1% 4.5% 3.5% 7.1% 5.0% 6.6% 7.9% 8.0% 13.2% 18.0% 12.9% 5.1%
Phoebe Sprague 5.6% 6.6% 7.2% 7.0% 7.5% 9.0% 8.8% 10.0% 10.7% 10.2% 9.8% 6.1% 1.5%
Brooke Doyon 0.4% 0.8% 0.2% 1.5% 1.4% 1.2% 1.0% 1.7% 2.8% 3.3% 7.5% 20.2% 58.0%
Ann Sager 1.0% 0.7% 1.7% 1.4% 1.4% 1.6% 2.4% 2.8% 4.0% 6.4% 11.7% 33.6% 31.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.