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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.74+3.68vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.38+3.77vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.83+1.47vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.54+1.22vs Predicted
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5Florida State University2.08+1.77vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.36-0.27vs Predicted
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7Clemson University1.88+0.28vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68+3.26vs Predicted
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9Duke University1.19+0.27vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.15-1.48vs Predicted
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12University of Florida2.20-5.70vs Predicted
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13Georgia Institute of Technology-1.80+4.07vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina-0.11-0.95vs Predicted
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15University of Tennessee0.16-2.36vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University1.38-7.22vs Predicted
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17University of Georgia-1.71-0.32vs Predicted
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18Auburn University-1.97-0.91vs Predicted
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19Embry-Riddle University0.23-6.71vs Predicted
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20University of South Carolina-1.52-3.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.68Eckerd College2.740.1%1st Place
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5.77Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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4.47University of Miami2.830.2%1st Place
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5.22University of South Florida2.540.1%1st Place
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6.77Florida State University2.080.1%1st Place
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5.73College of Charleston2.360.1%1st Place
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7.28Clemson University1.880.1%1st Place
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11.26University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.0%1st Place
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9.27Duke University1.190.0%1st Place
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9.52Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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6.3University of Florida2.200.1%1st Place
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17.07Georgia Institute of Technology-1.800.0%1st Place
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13.05University of North Carolina-0.110.0%1st Place
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12.64University of Tennessee0.160.0%1st Place
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8.78North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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16.68University of Georgia-1.710.0%1st Place
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17.09Auburn University-1.970.0%1st Place
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12.29Embry-Riddle University0.230.0%1st Place
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16.12University of South Carolina-1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geoffrey Nelson | 13.9% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Lawless | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 17.2% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Trebilcock | 12.4% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Thompson | 11.4% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Roberts | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cassie Todd | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Miao | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Salomon | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 7.7% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Elder | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 10.7% | 17.8% | 25.9% | 29.5% |
| Sage Stahmer | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 16.5% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Patrick Kopiwoda | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 16.9% | 11.4% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| David Rogers | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Stolorena | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 7.2% | 12.8% | 21.3% | 23.8% | 21.8% |
| Jonathan Ashworth | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 11.2% | 17.3% | 21.5% | 34.2% |
| Jacqueline Taylor | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 15.5% | 13.6% | 9.3% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Tanner Zelman | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 18.3% | 22.1% | 20.8% | 13.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.