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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.38+4.73vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.15+6.64vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.74+0.75vs Predicted
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5University of Florida2.20+1.23vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.83-1.42vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.54-1.80vs Predicted
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8Clemson University1.88-0.73vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.38+0.03vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.36-4.33vs Predicted
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11Florida State University2.08-4.54vs Predicted
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12Duke University1.19-2.57vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68-1.65vs Predicted
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14Georgia Institute of Technology-1.80+2.68vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina-0.11-1.59vs Predicted
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16University of South Carolina-1.52+0.20vs Predicted
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17University of Georgia-1.71-0.32vs Predicted
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18Auburn University-1.97-0.90vs Predicted
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19Embry-Riddle University0.23-6.66vs Predicted
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20University of Tennessee0.16-7.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.73Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.64Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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4.75Eckerd College2.740.2%1st Place
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6.23University of Florida2.200.1%1st Place
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4.58University of Miami2.830.1%1st Place
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5.2University of South Florida2.540.1%1st Place
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7.27Clemson University1.880.1%1st Place
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9.03North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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5.67College of Charleston2.360.1%1st Place
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6.46Florida State University2.080.1%1st Place
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9.43Duke University1.190.0%1st Place
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11.35University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.0%1st Place
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16.68Georgia Institute of Technology-1.800.0%1st Place
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13.41University of North Carolina-0.110.0%1st Place
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16.2University of South Carolina-1.520.0%1st Place
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16.68University of Georgia-1.710.0%1st Place
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17.1Auburn University-1.970.0%1st Place
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12.34Embry-Riddle University0.230.0%1st Place
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12.25University of Tennessee0.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Lawless | 7.6% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Salomon | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Geoffrey Nelson | 15.6% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 13.7% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Trebilcock | 14.5% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Roberts | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Thompson | 11.3% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Miao | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cassie Todd | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 14.7% | 10.3% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| James Elder | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 15.2% | 20.4% | 22.4% | 24.7% |
| Sage Stahmer | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 19.3% | 15.7% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Tanner Zelman | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 8.8% | 15.0% | 20.4% | 21.2% | 18.0% |
| Michael Stolorena | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 12.9% | 20.4% | 24.1% | 22.6% |
| Jonathan Ashworth | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 16.4% | 24.4% | 33.1% |
| Jacqueline Taylor | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 16.3% | 10.5% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Kopiwoda | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 16.6% | 14.9% | 10.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.