Race 13A

women-regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Genoa Warner 9.2% 9.5% 9.7% 9.6% 8.5% 9.6% 8.7% 10.7% 8.7% 7.6% 5.9% 1.8% 0.5%
Catherine Swanson 11.8% 9.4% 11.4% 10.5% 11.1% 8.5% 10.4% 6.4% 8.8% 5.9% 3.9% 1.6% 0.3%
Haley Powell 6.3% 7.4% 9.3% 7.9% 8.9% 9.1% 8.8% 11.6% 10.0% 8.4% 7.6% 3.9% 0.8%
Liv Gunnarsson 7.2% 7.1% 8.1% 8.1% 9.0% 8.3% 10.1% 9.4% 8.7% 10.3% 8.6% 4.3% 0.8%
Chandler Salisbury 11.0% 11.0% 10.3% 11.4% 7.2% 8.1% 11.2% 9.9% 6.3% 6.4% 4.7% 2.1% 0.4%
Jennifer Adler 14.4% 13.5% 14.2% 11.4% 10.7% 9.1% 7.3% 6.7% 5.8% 3.3% 2.6% 0.9% 0.1%
Stephanie Hudson 14.2% 14.5% 10.2% 11.8% 11.6% 10.0% 7.2% 7.6% 6.2% 3.0% 2.6% 0.8% 0.3%
Morgan Russom 6.8% 7.7% 6.8% 7.4% 8.0% 10.7% 9.2% 7.8% 10.3% 11.2% 8.7% 4.3% 1.1%
Erica Lush 3.5% 5.4% 3.3% 3.8% 5.3% 5.9% 5.6% 6.9% 10.8% 12.6% 18.1% 15.0% 3.8%
Alexandra Arntsen 8.0% 7.3% 7.2% 8.7% 9.2% 8.7% 8.6% 8.7% 8.6% 10.5% 9.3% 3.7% 1.5%
Phoebe Sprague 6.1% 5.6% 7.5% 6.9% 7.6% 8.9% 9.1% 9.9% 10.0% 10.9% 9.1% 6.9% 1.5%
Brooke Doyon 0.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.8% 1.4% 1.6% 1.6% 1.4% 2.1% 4.0% 7.0% 20.8% 57.7%
Ann Sager 1.1% 0.7% 1.7% 1.7% 1.5% 1.5% 2.2% 3.0% 3.7% 5.9% 11.9% 33.9% 31.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.