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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.82+2.72vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.61+2.26vs Predicted
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3University of Florida2.38+1.90vs Predicted
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5Duke University0.72+5.14vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.87+0.49vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.77-0.41vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology1.55-0.61vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.04+0.20vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.25-1.81vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University0.89-1.51vs Predicted
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12University of Miami1.26-3.76vs Predicted
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13Clemson University1.66-5.77vs Predicted
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14University of Tennessee-1.45+1.61vs Predicted
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15Florida State University0.50-4.08vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina-1.41-0.46vs Predicted
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17Auburn University-2.33+0.32vs Predicted
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18University of Georgia-1.96-1.29vs Predicted
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19Embry-Riddle University0.05-6.88vs Predicted
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20University of South Carolina-1.66-4.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.72Eckerd College2.820.2%1st Place
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4.26College of Charleston2.610.2%1st Place
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4.9University of Florida2.380.1%1st Place
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10.14Duke University0.720.0%1st Place
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6.49Jacksonville University1.870.1%1st Place
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6.59Eckerd College1.770.1%1st Place
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7.39Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.1%1st Place
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9.2University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.040.0%1st Place
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8.19University of South Florida1.250.0%1st Place
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9.49North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
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8.24University of Miami1.260.0%1st Place
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7.23Clemson University1.660.1%1st Place
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15.61University of Tennessee-1.450.0%1st Place
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10.92Florida State University0.500.0%1st Place
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15.54University of North Carolina-1.410.0%1st Place
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17.32Auburn University-2.330.0%1st Place
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16.71University of Georgia-1.960.0%1st Place
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12.12Embry-Riddle University0.050.0%1st Place
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15.95University of South Carolina-1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Schoene | 20.9% | 18.2% | 16.5% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Harr | 15.9% | 17.6% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Armington | 13.6% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Katsis | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hidley | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hana Zwick | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marten Kendrick | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kailey Savacool | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dean Nixon | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Thompson | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 5.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Giancarlo Falconi | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edwin Strong | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Murphy | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 14.2% | 18.8% | 16.3% | 19.6% | 10.0% |
| Rafael Melendez | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Lozier | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 13.8% | 17.4% | 19.6% | 16.0% | 10.7% |
| Shawn Majzlik | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 14.9% | 20.4% | 41.1% |
| Erica Trotter | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 12.4% | 18.5% | 24.4% | 24.2% |
| Joseph Geller | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 9.3% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Martha Metts | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 11.0% | 18.4% | 21.2% | 17.8% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.