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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Florida2.38+3.76vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.77+4.52vs Predicted
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3Clemson University1.66+3.87vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.82-0.42vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.04+3.97vs Predicted
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7Duke University0.72+2.67vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology1.55-0.82vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University0.89+0.40vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University1.87-3.96vs Predicted
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11University of Miami0.03+0.79vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.61-7.85vs Predicted
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13Florida State University0.50-2.27vs Predicted
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14Auburn University-2.33+3.07vs Predicted
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15University of Georgia-1.96+1.67vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University0.05-4.32vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina-1.41-1.48vs Predicted
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18University of Tennessee-1.45-2.45vs Predicted
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19University of South Carolina-1.66-2.89vs Predicted
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20University of South Florida1.25-12.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.76University of Florida2.380.1%1st Place
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6.52Eckerd College1.770.1%1st Place
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6.87Clemson University1.660.1%1st Place
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3.58Eckerd College2.820.2%1st Place
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8.97University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.040.0%1st Place
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9.67Duke University0.720.0%1st Place
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7.18Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.1%1st Place
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9.4North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
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6.04Jacksonville University1.870.1%1st Place
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11.79University of Miami0.030.0%1st Place
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4.15College of Charleston2.610.2%1st Place
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10.73Florida State University0.500.0%1st Place
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17.07Auburn University-2.330.0%1st Place
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16.67University of Georgia-1.960.0%1st Place
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11.68Embry-Riddle University0.050.0%1st Place
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15.52University of North Carolina-1.410.0%1st Place
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15.55University of Tennessee-1.450.0%1st Place
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16.11University of South Carolina-1.660.0%1st Place
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7.75University of South Florida1.250.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Armington | 12.2% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hana Zwick | 8.2% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edwin Strong | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Schoene | 20.4% | 18.3% | 17.6% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kailey Savacool | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Katsis | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Marten Kendrick | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Thompson | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hidley | 9.7% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Buonaiuto | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 7.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Liam Harr | 15.9% | 17.1% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rafael Melendez | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Shawn Majzlik | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 21.4% | 37.9% |
| Erica Trotter | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 19.9% | 22.1% | 26.2% |
| Joseph Geller | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Lozier | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 17.4% | 19.0% | 15.5% | 10.1% |
| Benjamin Murphy | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 7.7% | 13.3% | 16.8% | 17.1% | 16.3% | 11.8% |
| Martha Metts | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 10.9% | 17.5% | 19.3% | 20.7% | 13.8% |
| Dean Nixon | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.