Race 1B

women-regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Marlena Fauer 22.3% 17.4% 15.9% 13.8% 10.8% 8.5% 5.0% 3.6% 1.5% 1.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Kelsey Wheeler 11.4% 13.5% 11.3% 12.7% 12.4% 11.8% 10.8% 6.0% 6.2% 2.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Chanel Miller 9.0% 10.8% 12.6% 11.6% 10.2% 12.9% 10.9% 10.7% 6.6% 3.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.2%
Jessica Claflin 10.1% 10.3% 11.1% 11.7% 12.6% 11.7% 10.7% 8.9% 6.4% 4.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Caitlin Watson 7.2% 5.8% 8.4% 9.7% 8.9% 9.8% 10.6% 13.5% 11.1% 8.5% 4.3% 1.9% 0.3%
Natalie Salk 16.6% 19.2% 13.5% 12.3% 10.8% 9.5% 7.9% 5.6% 3.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Laura Cuccio 4.8% 4.5% 5.8% 5.0% 6.6% 7.7% 8.9% 11.5% 15.2% 13.8% 9.6% 5.6% 1.0%
Paige Fagan 1.0% 1.1% 1.9% 1.9% 2.0% 2.7% 3.7% 4.4% 8.5% 12.4% 19.6% 20.8% 20.0%
Emily McNeil 4.4% 5.4% 5.0% 6.0% 8.1% 7.1% 11.3% 13.6% 13.6% 13.4% 7.7% 3.8% 0.6%
Carolyn Naughton 10.7% 9.6% 11.0% 11.7% 11.7% 11.2% 10.2% 10.0% 6.6% 5.0% 1.4% 0.9% 0.0%
Caitlin Goodrich 0.8% 0.7% 0.8% 0.6% 2.1% 2.3% 4.0% 3.8% 6.4% 12.0% 18.3% 23.1% 25.1%
Alexi Schwartzkopff 1.0% 1.2% 2.0% 2.1% 2.7% 3.1% 4.1% 5.6% 9.6% 14.5% 20.5% 19.3% 14.3%
Whitney Washburn 0.7% 0.5% 0.7% 0.9% 1.1% 1.7% 1.9% 2.8% 5.3% 7.5% 15.1% 23.4% 38.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.