Race 1A

toni-deutsch

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Erin Mullins 9.4% 6.7% 8.0% 9.1% 8.1% 8.7% 6.8% 7.3% 6.1% 7.6% 5.7% 6.1% 4.5% 3.6% 2.3%
Sarah Hermus 11.4% 11.2% 10.2% 9.7% 9.3% 9.3% 7.1% 7.0% 6.7% 5.9% 3.7% 4.5% 2.4% 1.1% 0.5%
Sarah Williams 8.4% 10.1% 10.0% 8.5% 6.5% 9.1% 7.6% 8.6% 7.6% 5.7% 7.9% 4.2% 3.3% 1.5% 1.0%
Sophie Bermudez 3.8% 5.8% 5.3% 5.4% 6.2% 5.8% 6.9% 6.6% 6.4% 7.9% 7.9% 7.3% 8.1% 8.8% 7.8%
Rosalind Lesh 7.2% 8.5% 6.6% 7.5% 8.2% 6.5% 6.5% 8.6% 9.2% 7.9% 6.5% 5.2% 5.8% 3.7% 2.1%
Elise Gehling 3.0% 3.9% 4.9% 4.4% 3.9% 4.0% 4.9% 6.0% 8.0% 6.2% 9.7% 9.5% 11.3% 10.2% 10.1%
Hannah Polster 12.7% 8.9% 10.2% 11.4% 9.5% 8.4% 7.5% 7.5% 5.9% 6.1% 4.3% 3.0% 3.2% 0.9% 0.5%
Emilia Clementi 2.7% 2.4% 3.2% 2.8% 2.8% 4.3% 4.8% 5.6% 4.1% 5.6% 6.9% 8.4% 10.2% 14.6% 21.6%
MaryClaire Kiernan 6.2% 6.1% 7.0% 7.3% 7.7% 8.0% 9.0% 7.4% 7.2% 6.9% 7.4% 7.6% 5.1% 5.2% 1.9%
Janel DeCurtis 2.2% 2.3% 2.0% 2.3% 2.7% 4.2% 3.9% 3.8% 4.5% 6.1% 7.1% 7.5% 9.8% 16.1% 25.5%
Dana Rohde 12.0% 12.8% 9.7% 9.5% 8.4% 7.6% 8.3% 5.9% 7.1% 5.3% 5.2% 3.7% 2.3% 1.7% 0.5%
Lindsey Baab 7.8% 8.3% 8.4% 8.6% 8.9% 7.0% 6.9% 8.5% 7.8% 7.8% 4.6% 6.9% 4.2% 2.8% 1.5%
Katharina (KB) Knapp 4.6% 5.3% 5.6% 4.1% 6.6% 6.2% 6.3% 5.7% 7.7% 8.5% 8.1% 7.9% 9.3% 8.5% 5.6%
Hannah Lynn 3.5% 2.8% 3.4% 3.7% 5.5% 4.7% 6.9% 5.3% 4.4% 6.8% 7.2% 9.0% 11.8% 12.0% 13.0%
Lindsay Doyle 5.1% 4.9% 5.5% 5.7% 5.7% 6.2% 6.6% 6.2% 7.3% 5.7% 7.8% 9.2% 8.7% 9.3% 6.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.