← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+6.09vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College3.21+4.34vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University2.58+5.67vs Predicted
-
4Yale University2.67+4.41vs Predicted
-
5Brown University3.20+1.71vs Predicted
-
6Boston University3.42-0.17vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-1.30vs Predicted
-
8Boston College2.22+1.98vs Predicted
-
9Bowdoin College3.06-2.03vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University2.91-2.32vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island3.37-4.92vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University2.34-2.17vs Predicted
-
13Roger Williams University1.86-1.69vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont2.58-5.29vs Predicted
-
15Connecticut College1.98-4.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
-
6.34Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
-
8.67Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
-
8.41Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
-
6.71Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
-
5.83Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
-
5.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
-
9.98Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
-
6.97Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
-
7.68Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
-
6.08University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
-
9.83Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
-
11.31Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
-
8.71University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
-
10.69Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosalind Lesh | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% |
| Sarah Williams | 9.1% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% |
| Lindsey Baab | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Hannah Polster | 11.3% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Dana Rohde | 13.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Lynn | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 12.8% |
| Erin Mullins | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.4% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 11.5% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 16.4% | 27.0% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.0% |
| Emilia Clementi | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 20.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.