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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+6.11vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.20+4.41vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+2.66vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.58+4.72vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.37+1.10vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.42-0.22vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.06+0.04vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.58+0.80vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.91-1.51vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.21-3.37vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.67-2.54vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.22-1.75vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.98-2.08vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.34-4.46vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.86-3.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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6.41Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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5.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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8.72Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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6.1University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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5.78Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.04Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.8University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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7.49Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.63Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.46Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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10.25Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
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10.92Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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9.54Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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11.09Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosalind Lesh | 8.6% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.7% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Dana Rohde | 12.7% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 6.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.7% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Hannah Polster | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Erin Mullins | 9.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.2% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Sarah Williams | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% |
| Hannah Lynn | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 14.4% |
| Emilia Clementi | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 22.3% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.3% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 15.2% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.