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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+4.68vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+5.01vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.58+5.65vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.37+2.00vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.58+3.81vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.06+1.04vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.21-0.58vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.20-1.39vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.34+0.54vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.91-2.30vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.22-0.95vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.86-0.60vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.67-4.31vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.42-8.29vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.98-4.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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8.65Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.0University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.81University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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7.04Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.42Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.61Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.54Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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7.7Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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10.05Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
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11.4Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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8.69Yale University2.670.0%1st Place
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5.71Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.7Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 11.4% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 5.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.9% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% |
| Erin Mullins | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Sarah Williams | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Lindsey Baab | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 9.3% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Hannah Lynn | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 15.7% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 15.4% | 26.9% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% |
| Hannah Polster | 10.8% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Emilia Clementi | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 15.8% | 19.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.