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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.21+5.44vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.42+3.62vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+2.62vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.37+2.01vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.58+3.79vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.67+2.45vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.06+0.06vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.86+3.14vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-1.91vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.91-2.31vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.20-4.38vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.58-2.95vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.98-2.04vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.22-4.04vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.34-5.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.44Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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5.62Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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5.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.01University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.79University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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8.45Yale University2.670.0%1st Place
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7.06Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.14Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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7.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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7.69Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.62Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.05Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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10.96Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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9.96Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
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9.52Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Williams | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% |
| Hannah Polster | 11.2% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Dana Rohde | 12.2% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.2% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% |
| Erin Mullins | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 11.6% | 16.0% | 24.8% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% |
| Emilia Clementi | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 22.0% |
| Hannah Lynn | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 12.6% |
| Elise Gehling | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.