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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+4.67vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+4.96vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.06+4.02vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.34+5.54vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.37+1.12vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.42-0.21vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.86+4.03vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.91-0.42vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.20-2.53vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.58-1.13vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.21-4.46vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.98-0.92vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.58-4.03vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.22-4.03vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.67-6.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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7.02Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.54Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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6.12University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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5.79Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.03Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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7.58Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.47Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.87Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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6.54Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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11.08Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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8.97University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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9.97Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
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8.38Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 11.9% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Erin Mullins | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 12.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.9% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Hannah Polster | 11.5% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 15.2% | 23.8% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 6.6% |
| Sarah Williams | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Emilia Clementi | 2.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 16.1% | 22.5% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 6.3% |
| Hannah Lynn | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 14.6% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.