Race 2B

women-regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Marlena Fauer 21.3% 18.5% 16.4% 12.3% 12.1% 8.8% 5.0% 2.8% 1.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Carolyn Naughton 8.9% 10.3% 12.7% 9.8% 11.7% 11.3% 10.8% 9.5% 8.9% 3.4% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Natalie Salk 16.4% 16.4% 13.2% 13.4% 12.8% 8.9% 9.0% 6.1% 2.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Kelsey Wheeler 12.0% 11.8% 11.7% 14.5% 11.3% 11.0% 10.9% 6.4% 6.3% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Jessica Claflin 11.2% 11.1% 11.8% 10.0% 11.3% 10.7% 11.8% 11.1% 5.1% 4.2% 0.9% 0.7% 0.1%
Chanel Miller 10.5% 11.6% 12.4% 11.1% 12.0% 10.4% 9.9% 9.5% 6.2% 4.7% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Caitlin Watson 7.4% 7.1% 7.6% 8.7% 8.3% 10.3% 11.9% 12.3% 12.2% 8.2% 3.7% 2.0% 0.3%
Paige Fagan 0.8% 1.8% 1.3% 2.4% 2.0% 2.4% 3.0% 5.3% 6.4% 13.0% 18.4% 23.9% 19.3%
Alexi Schwartzkopff 1.2% 1.8% 2.1% 2.8% 2.7% 2.3% 4.1% 6.6% 8.5% 14.6% 19.3% 19.9% 14.1%
Emily McNeil 5.5% 4.6% 5.2% 6.6% 6.5% 11.2% 10.7% 10.8% 14.2% 11.7% 8.1% 3.7% 1.2%
Caitlin Goodrich 0.8% 0.8% 0.7% 1.3% 1.7% 2.2% 2.4% 5.0% 6.2% 12.5% 19.0% 23.3% 24.1%
Whitney Washburn 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 1.6% 1.2% 2.0% 1.2% 3.2% 5.5% 8.2% 15.3% 20.5% 39.6%
Laura Cuccio 3.5% 3.5% 4.4% 5.5% 6.4% 8.5% 9.3% 11.4% 16.5% 14.4% 10.7% 4.8% 1.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.