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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.34+8.42vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.98+8.64vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.42+2.73vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.67+4.38vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+0.84vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.37-0.03vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.21-0.52vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.22+2.01vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-1.90vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.06-2.82vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.86+0.15vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.91-4.17vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.20-6.13vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.58-5.32vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.58-6.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.42Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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10.64Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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5.73Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.38Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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5.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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5.97University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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6.48Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.01Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
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7.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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7.18Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.15Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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7.83Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.87Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.68University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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8.71Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elise Gehling | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 11.6% |
| Emilia Clementi | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 14.8% | 19.9% |
| Hannah Polster | 10.9% | 13.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 4.6% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.1% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Williams | 10.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Hannah Lynn | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 14.3% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 15.4% | 26.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 2.4% |
| Lindsey Baab | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.