Race 11A

toni-deutsch

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Dana Rohde 12.1% 10.9% 10.8% 11.4% 9.8% 7.6% 7.2% 7.1% 6.0% 5.8% 3.7% 2.2% 3.0% 1.2% 1.2%
Rosalind Lesh 8.6% 7.1% 9.4% 7.5% 7.3% 8.3% 6.7% 8.1% 6.2% 8.8% 5.6% 5.1% 5.6% 4.2% 1.5%
Lindsey Baab 8.1% 9.7% 9.5% 7.8% 8.3% 8.9% 7.3% 8.1% 8.2% 6.2% 6.6% 4.7% 3.5% 2.2% 0.9%
Katharina (KB) Knapp 5.0% 5.3% 6.0% 6.0% 7.9% 5.5% 6.0% 7.2% 7.4% 6.9% 7.4% 8.0% 8.5% 7.6% 5.3%
MaryClaire Kiernan 6.4% 8.0% 5.8% 6.7% 7.2% 7.3% 6.8% 7.0% 7.1% 7.8% 9.4% 7.3% 5.2% 4.9% 3.1%
Elise Gehling 3.1% 4.4% 4.4% 4.1% 4.1% 3.9% 6.3% 6.6% 6.1% 7.2% 9.4% 9.2% 10.0% 11.0% 10.2%
Erin Mullins 9.3% 6.3% 8.2% 7.6% 7.4% 8.7% 9.1% 7.2% 7.8% 6.9% 5.1% 6.2% 4.6% 4.4% 1.2%
Sarah Williams 9.6% 9.5% 8.6% 7.9% 7.8% 9.1% 7.6% 8.7% 7.3% 6.5% 5.5% 5.0% 3.3% 2.1% 1.5%
Sarah Hermus 10.0% 9.8% 9.7% 10.8% 9.9% 8.3% 8.7% 8.8% 5.5% 6.5% 4.4% 3.5% 2.6% 1.2% 0.3%
Hannah Lynn 3.0% 3.4% 3.1% 4.2% 3.7% 5.6% 5.1% 6.0% 5.3% 6.7% 6.8% 10.2% 10.6% 12.7% 13.6%
Hannah Polster 10.9% 12.6% 8.8% 10.7% 8.7% 7.4% 7.2% 6.6% 7.6% 5.0% 5.2% 4.2% 2.7% 1.5% 0.9%
Janel DeCurtis 2.3% 1.3% 2.2% 1.6% 2.4% 3.8% 4.0% 4.4% 5.3% 5.5% 6.1% 8.3% 9.9% 17.3% 25.6%
Lindsay Doyle 4.4% 4.5% 5.3% 4.7% 5.1% 5.9% 6.9% 5.0% 6.2% 7.1% 9.9% 9.5% 8.6% 10.2% 6.7%
Sophie Bermudez 4.5% 4.5% 4.7% 5.6% 7.3% 6.1% 6.3% 5.5% 8.7% 7.2% 8.2% 8.5% 9.9% 6.6% 6.4%
Emilia Clementi 2.7% 2.7% 3.5% 3.4% 3.1% 3.6% 4.8% 3.7% 5.3% 5.9% 6.7% 8.1% 12.0% 12.9% 21.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.