Race 12A

toni-deutsch

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Sarah Williams 9.5% 9.4% 9.8% 8.9% 8.7% 7.5% 7.4% 8.7% 6.1% 6.0% 5.5% 5.5% 2.8% 2.6% 1.6%
Sarah Hermus 10.0% 13.0% 10.7% 8.6% 9.4% 7.5% 8.9% 7.4% 6.5% 4.6% 4.8% 3.8% 2.8% 1.7% 0.3%
Janel DeCurtis 2.7% 2.2% 2.4% 3.7% 2.7% 4.6% 3.1% 4.2% 4.4% 5.5% 6.6% 6.3% 10.3% 18.0% 23.3%
Dana Rohde 12.5% 10.5% 11.0% 10.3% 8.4% 8.8% 8.1% 5.9% 7.0% 5.5% 4.7% 3.1% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4%
Hannah Polster 11.9% 10.6% 9.4% 8.7% 9.1% 8.2% 8.4% 8.8% 6.9% 5.2% 3.8% 3.9% 2.9% 1.9% 0.3%
MaryClaire Kiernan 6.6% 6.7% 6.8% 5.9% 6.8% 7.9% 7.4% 8.9% 6.9% 9.4% 7.7% 6.4% 5.7% 4.8% 2.1%
Hannah Lynn 3.6% 4.0% 3.8% 3.3% 4.8% 3.8% 4.9% 5.3% 6.2% 7.1% 7.0% 9.2% 12.5% 11.4% 13.1%
Erin Mullins 7.6% 8.0% 7.9% 8.7% 7.2% 7.1% 6.8% 8.9% 6.3% 7.2% 7.5% 6.0% 5.3% 3.5% 2.0%
Lindsay Doyle 4.6% 4.3% 4.8% 4.9% 6.7% 6.6% 7.3% 6.7% 7.7% 7.4% 9.2% 9.0% 6.9% 7.6% 6.3%
Rosalind Lesh 6.9% 7.0% 7.5% 8.5% 8.3% 8.4% 6.9% 7.2% 7.5% 7.1% 7.4% 5.3% 5.8% 4.1% 2.1%
Emilia Clementi 2.7% 2.0% 3.3% 2.7% 4.7% 3.0% 4.4% 4.2% 4.8% 6.6% 7.0% 8.6% 8.7% 13.6% 23.7%
Lindsey Baab 7.3% 8.2% 8.2% 9.8% 7.1% 8.7% 8.4% 6.2% 8.7% 7.4% 7.1% 4.4% 4.2% 2.9% 1.4%
Elise Gehling 4.0% 4.0% 2.9% 5.3% 3.6% 4.4% 5.6% 5.9% 5.9% 5.8% 7.9% 9.8% 10.8% 12.7% 11.4%
Sophie Bermudez 4.4% 4.6% 5.3% 6.4% 6.1% 6.2% 4.8% 6.4% 7.5% 8.4% 6.9% 9.2% 9.4% 8.1% 6.3%
Katharina (KB) Knapp 5.7% 5.5% 6.2% 4.3% 6.4% 7.3% 7.6% 5.3% 7.6% 6.8% 6.9% 9.5% 9.2% 6.0% 5.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.