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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.67+7.29vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.06+4.92vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+4.14vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.34+5.54vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.22+4.99vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.42-0.18vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.58+1.71vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.20-1.40vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-3.37vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.37-3.93vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.58-2.18vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.91-4.10vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.98-2.03vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.21-7.48vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.86-3.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.29Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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6.92Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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9.54Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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9.99Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
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5.82Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.71Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.6Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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5.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.07University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.82University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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7.9Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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10.97Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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6.52Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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11.08Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% |
| Erin Mullins | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.8% |
| Hannah Lynn | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 13.7% |
| Hannah Polster | 11.2% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 5.7% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.8% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 2.8% |
| Emilia Clementi | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 15.7% | 22.1% |
| Sarah Williams | 8.4% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 15.0% | 26.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.