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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.37+4.95vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.06+4.86vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.91+4.51vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.34+5.54vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.67+3.48vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.22+4.04vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.21-0.53vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-0.79vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.58-0.30vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.42-4.15vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.58-2.24vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.86-0.60vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-7.01vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.20-7.48vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.98-4.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.95University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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6.86Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.51Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.54Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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8.48Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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10.04Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
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6.47Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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7.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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8.7University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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5.85Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.76Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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11.4Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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5.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.52Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.74Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Hermus | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% |
| Erin Mullins | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 10.1% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.2% |
| Hannah Lynn | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 13.3% |
| Sarah Williams | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% |
| Hannah Polster | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 15.6% | 26.7% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Emilia Clementi | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 14.7% | 21.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.