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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.44+6.05vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.41+5.00vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.33+4.39vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.36+6.70vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.83+4.25vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+0.50vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.65-0.74vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.36-0.67vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.45-2.01vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.05-1.45vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-2.99vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.02-3.15vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.50-5.78vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.84-8.27vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.33-1.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.05Bowdoin College2.440.1%1st Place
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7.0Yale University2.410.1%1st Place
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7.39Tufts University2.330.1%1st Place
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10.7Brown University1.360.0%1st Place
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9.25University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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6.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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6.26Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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7.33Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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6.99Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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8.55Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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8.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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8.85Boston College2.020.0%1st Place
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7.22Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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5.73Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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13.16University of Vermont0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Paz | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Claire Huebner | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Kate Shaner | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Meredith Morran | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 19.9% | 15.2% |
| Kimberly Morecraft | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 6.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Taylor Gavula | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Emily Petno | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Victoria McGruer | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 3.1% |
| Greta Farrell | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 3.9% |
| Caroline Downey | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 3.7% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 7.5% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 11.5% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Grace Cherouny | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 13.9% | 57.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.