Race 3B

toni-deutsch

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Victoria McGruer 6.1% 5.4% 6.5% 5.5% 6.1% 5.9% 7.3% 6.8% 6.3% 6.7% 7.3% 8.2% 10.1% 8.3% 3.5%
Lydia Grasberger 11.5% 12.4% 10.6% 10.8% 8.6% 10.2% 5.8% 7.2% 6.6% 4.4% 4.7% 4.7% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
Claire Huebner 7.0% 8.6% 7.7% 9.2% 5.7% 7.0% 8.1% 7.9% 6.6% 8.6% 6.5% 6.7% 5.8% 3.3% 1.3%
Greta Farrell 6.0% 6.3% 6.2% 6.8% 6.9% 7.1% 7.3% 5.7% 7.1% 7.5% 7.7% 7.7% 8.0% 7.3% 2.4%
Emily Petno 7.7% 8.3% 7.5% 7.4% 8.2% 7.4% 5.8% 7.4% 9.0% 7.5% 6.6% 5.4% 6.9% 3.7% 1.2%
Alexandra Maurillo 8.1% 7.6% 7.8% 7.5% 7.7% 8.6% 8.3% 8.9% 7.5% 7.5% 6.5% 6.2% 4.7% 2.2% 0.9%
Mary Paz 9.3% 5.4% 8.3% 8.0% 6.7% 8.6% 9.5% 7.3% 7.0% 6.5% 7.2% 4.7% 6.0% 4.3% 1.2%
Kayla Ellis 9.0% 10.0% 8.7% 8.2% 8.8% 7.2% 7.3% 7.9% 6.3% 8.9% 5.1% 6.5% 2.6% 2.7% 0.8%
Kelsey Shakin 6.8% 6.6% 8.0% 6.5% 8.0% 8.2% 8.1% 8.1% 7.4% 7.1% 7.5% 7.3% 5.4% 3.5% 1.5%
Grace Cherouny 0.6% 1.1% 1.4% 1.1% 1.0% 1.7% 0.8% 1.8% 2.2% 2.4% 3.3% 4.1% 6.9% 14.5% 57.1%
Kate Shaner 7.1% 7.9% 7.3% 6.0% 7.7% 6.2% 8.4% 7.0% 7.3% 5.7% 7.8% 6.8% 6.4% 6.1% 2.3%
Kimberly Morecraft 3.9% 2.5% 2.6% 5.4% 6.1% 4.9% 5.8% 6.2% 6.2% 8.0% 8.4% 10.3% 10.8% 12.8% 6.1%
Meredith Morran 2.0% 2.6% 3.4% 2.9% 3.3% 3.1% 4.1% 4.1% 5.2% 4.3% 6.6% 8.8% 11.4% 21.9% 16.3%
Caroline Downey 4.7% 5.3% 5.4% 5.5% 6.8% 6.6% 6.2% 6.1% 7.9% 7.5% 8.9% 8.5% 9.1% 6.5% 5.0%
Taylor Gavula 10.2% 10.0% 8.6% 9.2% 8.4% 7.3% 7.2% 7.6% 7.4% 7.4% 5.9% 4.1% 4.2% 2.3% 0.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.