Race 4B

toni-deutsch

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Lydia Grasberger 12.5% 12.5% 11.0% 9.4% 7.6% 9.4% 7.9% 7.2% 5.4% 5.0% 4.2% 3.2% 2.5% 1.4% 0.8%
Mary Paz 8.0% 8.9% 8.3% 7.3% 8.4% 8.0% 7.9% 7.3% 7.4% 7.0% 5.5% 5.4% 5.7% 3.7% 1.2%
Kayla Ellis 9.2% 9.4% 10.4% 8.1% 7.3% 8.5% 8.5% 7.5% 7.4% 7.0% 6.6% 4.0% 3.5% 2.1% 0.5%
Claire Huebner 8.0% 8.1% 6.5% 8.8% 8.3% 6.3% 8.3% 6.7% 6.5% 6.5% 9.6% 5.9% 5.0% 4.4% 1.1%
Kelsey Shakin 7.1% 8.3% 6.2% 6.5% 6.8% 7.9% 6.3% 8.1% 7.6% 8.5% 7.6% 6.3% 5.5% 6.0% 1.3%
Victoria McGruer 5.1% 5.5% 5.8% 5.4% 5.3% 5.7% 6.6% 7.1% 7.1% 8.3% 8.5% 9.0% 9.7% 7.5% 3.4%
Taylor Gavula 11.0% 7.7% 9.5% 8.7% 8.8% 9.0% 8.4% 7.2% 8.1% 4.4% 5.6% 5.1% 4.2% 1.7% 0.6%
Greta Farrell 6.2% 6.0% 6.6% 7.0% 6.3% 6.4% 7.0% 6.1% 8.7% 6.1% 7.5% 8.3% 8.4% 5.8% 3.6%
Kimberly Morecraft 3.9% 3.5% 4.5% 4.4% 5.5% 6.6% 5.8% 6.5% 6.9% 8.4% 8.2% 8.7% 10.6% 11.3% 5.2%
Emily Petno 7.0% 6.6% 7.9% 8.0% 9.6% 6.9% 8.4% 7.5% 7.8% 7.5% 5.0% 7.8% 4.7% 4.0% 1.3%
Alexandra Maurillo 7.8% 9.6% 9.1% 7.2% 8.4% 7.7% 5.9% 7.8% 6.0% 7.8% 5.5% 6.6% 5.6% 3.3% 1.7%
Caroline Downey 4.5% 3.9% 4.3% 6.4% 7.3% 5.2% 5.2% 7.1% 7.6% 8.0% 8.1% 9.4% 8.8% 10.3% 3.9%
Kate Shaner 6.4% 6.6% 6.1% 7.8% 6.1% 6.6% 6.5% 7.8% 7.4% 8.5% 7.8% 8.0% 7.2% 5.6% 1.6%
Meredith Morran 2.3% 2.6% 3.0% 3.4% 2.7% 4.3% 4.8% 4.8% 4.3% 4.8% 7.5% 8.5% 11.7% 19.2% 16.1%
Grace Cherouny 1.0% 0.8% 0.8% 1.6% 1.6% 1.5% 2.5% 1.3% 1.8% 2.2% 2.8% 3.8% 6.9% 13.7% 57.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.