Race 11A

central-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ian Donahue 11.5% 15.4% 14.8% 14.5% 15.1% 13.7% 8.3% 5.2% 1.3% 0.2%
Jon Beery 7.5% 9.0% 13.2% 13.6% 15.5% 14.8% 12.4% 9.7% 3.5% 0.8%
Alexandra Arntsen 8.0% 13.7% 13.0% 15.9% 15.6% 14.2% 11.5% 6.0% 1.9% 0.2%
Ryan Byrne 5.5% 6.8% 11.3% 12.5% 15.4% 15.8% 15.7% 10.2% 5.4% 1.4%
Michael Rush 46.2% 26.0% 16.2% 6.9% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Hulse 3.0% 4.6% 4.4% 7.0% 7.2% 11.6% 15.9% 19.4% 19.1% 7.8%
Tom Charpentier 1.8% 2.9% 5.4% 6.2% 8.1% 11.1% 17.1% 19.9% 18.2% 9.3%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 15.0% 18.9% 17.9% 17.4% 12.8% 9.6% 4.7% 2.9% 0.6% 0.2%
Natalie Fohl 0.9% 1.6% 1.2% 2.8% 3.5% 3.5% 6.6% 12.7% 25.0% 42.2%
John Fonte 0.6% 1.1% 2.6% 3.2% 3.7% 4.5% 7.5% 13.9% 25.0% 37.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.