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📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.39+3.41vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.64+1.91vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.46+1.29vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College-0.42+5.43vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.36+1.98vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.47-1.81vs Predicted
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7Boston University-0.22+1.85vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy0.48-1.18vs Predicted
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9Boston University-0.04-0.69vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.70-3.72vs Predicted
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11Bentley University-0.45-1.18vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-1.73+0.50vs Predicted
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13Boston College0.05-4.90vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.62-1.80vs Predicted
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15Bates College-2.67-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.41Bowdoin College1.3915.1%1st Place
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3.91Bowdoin College1.6418.2%1st Place
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4.29Dartmouth College1.4616.4%1st Place
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9.43Dartmouth College-0.422.3%1st Place
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6.98University of Vermont0.366.0%1st Place
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4.19Bowdoin College1.4716.9%1st Place
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8.85Boston University-0.222.8%1st Place
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6.82Maine Maritime Academy0.486.3%1st Place
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8.31Boston University-0.043.5%1st Place
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6.28Northeastern University0.706.0%1st Place
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9.82Bentley University-0.451.8%1st Place
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12.5University of New Hampshire-1.730.7%1st Place
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8.1Boston College0.053.4%1st Place
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12.2Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.620.5%1st Place
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13.91Bates College-2.670.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Keenan | 15.1% | 15.3% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Conover | 18.2% | 15.2% | 16.6% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harry Bryan | 16.4% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooklyn Verplank | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 6.0% | 1.4% |
| Marco Welch | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Henry Ladd | 16.9% | 14.5% | 15.8% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Stevens | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Skye Johnson | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Graham Welsh | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Jeremy Bullock | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| John O'Connell | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 8.2% | 2.5% |
| Peter Huntley-Robertson | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 18.4% | 29.1% | 19.3% |
| Kennedy Laureigh | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Colin Shearley | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 20.9% | 26.8% | 15.9% |
| Logan Ray | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 8.8% | 18.6% | 58.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.