Race 3B

women-regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Carolyn Naughton 10.2% 9.2% 11.9% 11.2% 10.5% 12.2% 11.2% 10.3% 7.0% 4.2% 1.5% 0.6% 0.0%
Kelsey Wheeler 11.1% 11.9% 12.5% 13.8% 11.9% 10.9% 9.2% 7.8% 6.2% 3.1% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Natalie Salk 15.9% 16.1% 15.5% 12.6% 10.6% 11.2% 7.9% 6.1% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Marlena Fauer 21.1% 19.2% 15.1% 14.4% 11.4% 7.2% 5.8% 3.3% 1.9% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Jessica Claflin 11.2% 11.2% 10.7% 11.5% 9.7% 12.8% 10.6% 10.1% 6.3% 4.1% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Caitlin Watson 7.0% 6.5% 7.6% 8.4% 10.7% 9.3% 12.3% 12.0% 10.4% 9.9% 4.5% 1.4% 0.0%
Chanel Miller 12.4% 10.9% 10.2% 9.5% 12.2% 12.4% 11.2% 9.0% 7.5% 2.9% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Paige Fagan 0.8% 1.3% 2.2% 1.5% 2.3% 3.0% 3.0% 3.2% 7.5% 14.5% 18.5% 24.5% 17.7%
Laura Cuccio 4.0% 4.9% 4.1% 5.3% 6.2% 7.5% 9.6% 11.1% 16.0% 14.9% 11.4% 3.8% 1.2%
Alexi Schwartzkopff 1.1% 1.6% 2.7% 2.3% 3.1% 1.8% 4.1% 6.6% 9.6% 15.7% 19.4% 18.0% 14.0%
Emily McNeil 4.1% 5.5% 6.3% 6.4% 8.7% 8.8% 10.5% 12.8% 13.5% 12.1% 7.0% 3.2% 1.1%
Whitney Washburn 0.4% 0.9% 0.3% 1.8% 1.2% 1.4% 1.8% 3.9% 5.0% 7.7% 16.2% 22.2% 37.2%
Caitlin Goodrich 0.7% 0.8% 0.9% 1.3% 1.5% 1.5% 2.8% 3.8% 6.5% 9.5% 16.8% 25.1% 28.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.