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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.40+1.32vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.72+1.30vs Predicted
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3Clemson University-0.15+1.83vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University0.26+0.04vs Predicted
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5Duke University-1.01+1.23vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-1.75+1.53vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina-0.41-1.88vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.68-0.63vs Predicted
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9The Citadel0.19-4.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.32North Carolina State University1.4037.2%1st Place
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3.3Clemson University0.7218.6%1st Place
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4.83Clemson University-0.157.0%1st Place
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4.04North Carolina State University0.2611.8%1st Place
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6.23Duke University-1.014.0%1st Place
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7.53University of North Carolina-1.751.6%1st Place
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5.12University of South Carolina-0.417.1%1st Place
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7.37University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.682.1%1st Place
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4.28The Citadel0.1910.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Chase | 37.2% | 25.6% | 17.8% | 10.7% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryson Eaton | 18.6% | 20.2% | 19.7% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Bergendahl | 7.0% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 16.5% | 18.1% | 13.5% | 7.6% | 2.4% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 11.8% | 14.2% | 17.1% | 16.9% | 14.6% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Jack Wigmore | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 19.2% | 21.9% | 13.2% |
| Runyon Tyler | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 13.0% | 24.7% | 40.8% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 16.7% | 17.1% | 11.1% | 3.5% |
| Abbi Barnette | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 25.6% | 37.5% |
| Kenneth Buck | 10.5% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 16.4% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.