Race 6B

toni-deutsch

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

13.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Kate Shaner 7.6% 7.0% 7.8% 7.9% 6.6% 6.9% 7.6% 7.8% 7.1% 6.3% 7.3% 5.0% 7.8% 4.9% 2.4%
Caroline Downey 4.8% 5.9% 6.0% 5.2% 6.8% 8.3% 5.5% 6.1% 7.6% 6.7% 7.5% 9.2% 8.3% 8.5% 3.6%
Alexandra Maurillo 8.4% 8.8% 8.6% 9.0% 6.4% 7.5% 7.9% 9.1% 7.5% 7.2% 6.5% 5.6% 3.5% 2.7% 1.3%
Mary Paz 8.5% 8.0% 8.0% 7.8% 8.3% 5.4% 8.2% 7.3% 7.1% 6.3% 8.7% 6.3% 4.7% 4.0% 1.4%
Greta Farrell 6.7% 6.7% 5.1% 6.6% 5.4% 6.8% 6.9% 6.2% 6.8% 8.5% 9.0% 8.2% 6.6% 7.3% 3.2%
Victoria McGruer 4.8% 6.2% 5.8% 4.6% 5.9% 5.4% 6.5% 7.8% 7.3% 8.6% 7.6% 8.9% 7.2% 9.8% 3.6%
Lydia Grasberger 12.9% 9.9% 10.6% 9.1% 9.5% 9.8% 8.1% 7.2% 5.6% 4.5% 4.5% 4.0% 3.0% 1.1% 0.2%
Meredith Morran 2.8% 2.8% 2.2% 2.8% 3.4% 3.6% 5.5% 3.6% 4.5% 6.2% 7.2% 9.1% 12.1% 19.0% 15.2%
Emily Petno 7.5% 6.8% 9.2% 6.8% 8.6% 9.3% 8.1% 8.6% 6.2% 7.2% 6.8% 5.9% 5.1% 3.4% 0.5%
Taylor Gavula 7.9% 9.8% 9.2% 10.1% 8.1% 8.1% 8.7% 8.7% 6.5% 5.3% 4.9% 5.1% 4.7% 2.5% 0.4%
Kayla Ellis 9.4% 9.8% 9.4% 8.7% 8.3% 7.6% 6.1% 6.5% 7.4% 6.2% 5.4% 5.6% 5.8% 2.3% 1.5%
Kimberly Morecraft 3.7% 2.5% 3.8% 4.5% 6.5% 5.8% 4.6% 6.2% 5.7% 8.8% 7.9% 8.2% 12.9% 13.0% 5.9%
Claire Huebner 7.4% 7.2% 6.2% 7.4% 7.2% 6.4% 7.1% 6.5% 9.7% 8.5% 7.9% 7.1% 5.7% 4.6% 1.1%
Kelsey Shakin 6.7% 7.8% 7.1% 8.1% 7.8% 7.0% 7.2% 7.2% 8.0% 7.9% 6.3% 7.3% 5.7% 4.4% 1.5%
Grace Cherouny 0.9% 0.8% 1.0% 1.4% 1.2% 2.1% 2.0% 1.2% 3.0% 1.8% 2.5% 4.5% 6.9% 12.5% 58.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.