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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.05+7.64vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.36+5.52vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.84+2.95vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.45+3.27vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.83+4.50vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.41+1.54vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-0.29vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.33-0.20vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-0.77vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.20-5.07vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.50-3.74vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.65-5.09vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.36-1.88vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.44-6.68vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.33-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.64Northeastern University2.050.1%1st Place
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7.52Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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5.95Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.27Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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9.5University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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7.54Yale University2.410.1%1st Place
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6.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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7.8Tufts University2.330.1%1st Place
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8.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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4.93Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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7.26Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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6.91Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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11.12Brown University1.360.0%1st Place
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7.32Bowdoin College2.440.1%1st Place
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13.29University of Vermont0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria McGruer | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 4.2% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Emily Petno | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Kimberly Morecraft | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 6.0% |
| Claire Huebner | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Kayla Ellis | 10.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Kate Shaner | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 2.2% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 1.9% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 14.2% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 6.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Meredith Morran | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 20.8% | 18.2% |
| Mary Paz | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Grace Cherouny | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 13.1% | 59.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.