Race 9B

toni-deutsch

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Lydia Grasberger 11.4% 10.9% 9.7% 10.0% 7.9% 8.8% 7.3% 8.1% 6.8% 6.0% 4.2% 3.5% 2.8% 1.7% 0.9%
Taylor Gavula 8.8% 10.0% 8.5% 9.3% 8.1% 8.4% 7.0% 7.3% 6.9% 7.4% 6.9% 4.6% 4.2% 1.7% 0.9%
Kayla Ellis 8.1% 8.5% 8.8% 8.4% 8.2% 8.0% 7.8% 7.3% 7.4% 6.9% 7.9% 5.9% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7%
Victoria McGruer 4.3% 4.7% 5.4% 5.2% 7.8% 5.4% 6.1% 6.2% 7.6% 7.2% 7.3% 9.7% 9.7% 9.3% 4.1%
Kate Shaner 6.4% 6.8% 6.9% 5.7% 6.3% 7.1% 6.9% 6.5% 7.4% 8.8% 8.5% 7.4% 6.5% 6.7% 2.1%
Meredith Morran 2.0% 3.0% 2.9% 2.9% 2.6% 3.1% 3.6% 3.9% 3.8% 6.5% 7.9% 7.8% 13.0% 21.3% 15.7%
Mary Paz 8.2% 5.8% 6.1% 8.6% 6.7% 7.9% 7.8% 7.6% 8.7% 7.9% 6.2% 6.6% 6.4% 4.0% 1.5%
Margaret Kilvert 8.2% 7.9% 8.3% 6.9% 6.3% 8.3% 8.5% 7.3% 8.1% 6.6% 6.6% 6.2% 5.5% 4.1% 1.2%
Kelsey Shakin 6.0% 6.5% 6.1% 7.8% 7.6% 7.7% 7.1% 7.8% 7.2% 7.8% 8.8% 7.9% 5.9% 4.4% 1.4%
Claire Huebner 6.2% 5.7% 7.7% 6.8% 7.2% 7.1% 8.6% 8.0% 8.8% 6.8% 5.7% 8.2% 6.4% 5.3% 1.5%
Greta Farrell 4.9% 6.0% 6.7% 4.8% 7.9% 6.2% 7.2% 6.3% 5.6% 8.4% 7.6% 7.8% 9.1% 8.5% 3.0%
Alexandra Maurillo 6.6% 6.8% 6.8% 7.5% 8.3% 6.5% 6.8% 8.5% 7.8% 8.0% 7.6% 5.4% 7.5% 4.6% 1.3%
Isabella Loosbrock 13.9% 12.5% 11.6% 10.5% 9.4% 8.9% 8.1% 6.8% 7.0% 3.7% 3.5% 2.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Grace Cherouny 1.0% 0.6% 0.7% 1.0% 0.8% 1.5% 2.2% 1.4% 2.1% 2.0% 3.2% 5.5% 5.4% 12.8% 59.8%
Kimberly Morecraft 4.0% 4.3% 3.8% 4.6% 4.9% 5.1% 5.0% 7.0% 4.8% 6.0% 8.1% 11.3% 12.3% 13.0% 5.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.