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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.05+7.63vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.84+3.86vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+3.77vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.54+3.05vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.20+0.01vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.33+1.80vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.44+0.30vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.41-0.50vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.36+1.96vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.83-0.44vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.36-3.28vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.33+1.52vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.50-5.52vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-5.79vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.65-8.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.63Northeastern University2.050.1%1st Place
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5.86Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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7.05Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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5.01Boston College3.200.2%1st Place
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7.8Tufts University2.330.1%1st Place
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7.3Bowdoin College2.440.1%1st Place
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7.5Yale University2.410.1%1st Place
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10.96Brown University1.360.0%1st Place
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9.56University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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7.72Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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13.52University of Vermont0.330.0%1st Place
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7.48Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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8.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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6.64Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria McGruer | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 4.6% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 10.1% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Kayla Ellis | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 15.5% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kate Shaner | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Mary Paz | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Claire Huebner | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Meredith Morran | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 20.8% | 14.5% |
| Kimberly Morecraft | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 6.7% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| Grace Cherouny | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 15.5% | 60.2% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Greta Farrell | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 2.5% |
| Taylor Gavula | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.