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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+7.19vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.84+3.88vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+3.75vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.20+0.93vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.54+2.14vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.44+1.40vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.36+0.59vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.50-0.82vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.41-1.58vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.33-2.12vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.05-2.20vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.36-0.79vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.65-6.06vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.83-4.56vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.33-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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5.88Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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4.93Boston College3.200.2%1st Place
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7.14Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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7.4Bowdoin College2.440.1%1st Place
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7.59Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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7.18Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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7.42Yale University2.410.1%1st Place
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7.88Tufts University2.330.1%1st Place
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8.8Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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11.21Brown University1.360.0%1st Place
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6.94Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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9.44University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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13.25University of Vermont0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greta Farrell | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 3.9% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 9.3% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Kayla Ellis | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 15.2% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Mary Paz | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 1.5% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Claire Huebner | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Kate Shaner | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 2.0% |
| Victoria McGruer | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 6.4% |
| Meredith Morran | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 23.4% | 15.6% |
| Taylor Gavula | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Kimberly Morecraft | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 6.2% |
| Grace Cherouny | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 15.0% | 57.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.