Race 14B

toni-deutsch

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Greta Farrell 6.5% 5.3% 5.3% 6.9% 6.4% 5.6% 7.9% 6.4% 7.3% 7.6% 6.2% 10.2% 8.5% 6.8% 3.1%
Kayla Ellis 8.0% 8.9% 8.8% 9.0% 8.2% 8.3% 7.2% 8.2% 7.8% 5.9% 6.6% 5.3% 5.0% 2.5% 0.3%
Victoria McGruer 4.7% 4.5% 5.7% 5.4% 5.9% 5.8% 5.7% 6.7% 7.0% 7.3% 9.3% 8.6% 11.0% 9.6% 2.8%
Meredith Morran 1.7% 2.9% 2.8% 2.0% 3.8% 3.8% 4.0% 4.1% 4.7% 7.0% 6.3% 8.5% 11.8% 20.8% 15.8%
Claire Huebner 6.6% 8.1% 6.2% 6.5% 7.3% 7.6% 5.6% 7.3% 9.2% 7.9% 7.6% 7.0% 5.5% 6.1% 1.5%
Mary Paz 7.0% 7.0% 5.7% 7.4% 7.8% 6.2% 8.0% 9.5% 7.3% 8.3% 8.0% 6.3% 5.6% 4.7% 1.2%
Lydia Grasberger 12.3% 8.3% 9.6% 10.1% 9.3% 9.0% 8.8% 6.9% 5.5% 5.5% 4.6% 5.5% 2.9% 1.0% 0.7%
Kelsey Shakin 6.8% 6.1% 7.6% 6.5% 6.7% 5.9% 7.4% 7.0% 8.8% 8.3% 6.8% 7.4% 7.4% 5.7% 1.6%
Isabella Loosbrock 14.2% 15.0% 13.4% 10.2% 9.7% 8.8% 8.1% 6.9% 4.7% 3.5% 2.8% 1.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Kate Shaner 5.6% 6.1% 7.0% 6.1% 6.8% 7.4% 7.1% 7.6% 7.5% 8.2% 6.5% 9.0% 7.5% 5.4% 2.2%
Kimberly Morecraft 3.3% 3.8% 4.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.2% 5.9% 5.6% 5.9% 6.6% 9.2% 8.7% 11.9% 13.5% 7.4%
Margaret Kilvert 7.3% 4.8% 8.8% 7.5% 7.8% 8.0% 8.0% 7.7% 8.3% 7.1% 7.1% 6.9% 6.2% 3.6% 0.9%
Grace Cherouny 0.4% 0.5% 1.2% 1.1% 1.3% 1.7% 1.5% 1.7% 1.6% 2.1% 3.4% 3.4% 6.6% 12.5% 61.0%
Taylor Gavula 7.7% 10.4% 7.7% 8.3% 8.1% 7.9% 7.7% 7.3% 8.5% 7.0% 6.2% 5.2% 4.3% 3.0% 0.7%
Alexandra Maurillo 7.9% 8.3% 5.7% 9.0% 6.4% 8.8% 7.1% 7.1% 5.9% 7.7% 9.4% 6.6% 4.8% 4.5% 0.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.