Race 4B

women-regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Kelsey Wheeler 12.3% 13.3% 12.5% 10.8% 12.6% 10.6% 9.3% 9.1% 5.5% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Marlena Fauer 21.0% 19.4% 15.9% 14.0% 11.0% 7.6% 5.1% 3.6% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Jessica Claflin 8.6% 10.7% 12.2% 13.1% 10.9% 10.8% 11.6% 8.7% 7.6% 3.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.0%
Natalie Salk 16.3% 16.5% 13.9% 13.5% 12.1% 10.3% 8.2% 4.4% 3.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Carolyn Naughton 11.0% 9.2% 11.5% 10.9% 10.2% 11.4% 12.1% 10.1% 6.6% 4.7% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Caitlin Watson 6.7% 6.1% 8.1% 8.5% 10.1% 9.8% 12.5% 11.5% 11.9% 8.2% 5.5% 1.0% 0.1%
Chanel Miller 11.8% 11.3% 10.2% 10.0% 12.3% 12.3% 9.4% 10.4% 6.7% 3.7% 1.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Laura Cuccio 4.0% 5.1% 4.5% 5.3% 6.9% 8.3% 8.9% 12.4% 15.2% 13.4% 10.4% 4.7% 0.9%
Caitlin Goodrich 0.9% 0.7% 1.5% 2.4% 1.7% 2.0% 2.3% 3.1% 6.2% 8.7% 16.8% 24.9% 28.8%
Emily McNeil 5.0% 5.1% 5.1% 6.7% 6.4% 9.8% 11.5% 11.7% 13.3% 12.9% 7.3% 4.1% 1.1%
Alexi Schwartzkopff 1.0% 1.1% 2.0% 2.3% 2.8% 3.7% 4.5% 6.9% 10.6% 17.8% 19.5% 16.7% 11.1%
Whitney Washburn 0.6% 0.5% 0.9% 1.0% 1.4% 1.4% 1.9% 3.0% 4.6% 8.7% 14.6% 23.0% 38.4%
Paige Fagan 0.8% 1.0% 1.7% 1.5% 1.6% 2.0% 2.7% 5.1% 7.1% 13.8% 19.8% 23.4% 19.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.