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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.40+1.33vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University0.26+1.97vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.72+0.24vs Predicted
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4Clemson University-0.15+0.68vs Predicted
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5Duke University-1.01+1.20vs Predicted
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6The Citadel0.19-1.87vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-2.36+1.03vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina-0.41-2.92vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.68-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.33North Carolina State University1.4036.0%1st Place
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3.97North Carolina State University0.2612.7%1st Place
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3.24Clemson University0.7219.2%1st Place
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4.68Clemson University-0.157.9%1st Place
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6.2Duke University-1.013.1%1st Place
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4.13The Citadel0.1912.6%1st Place
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8.03University of North Carolina-2.361.1%1st Place
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5.08University of South Carolina-0.415.9%1st Place
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7.33University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.681.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Chase | 36.0% | 26.5% | 18.4% | 10.8% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 12.7% | 14.6% | 15.6% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Bryson Eaton | 19.2% | 20.3% | 19.5% | 16.3% | 12.3% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Bergendahl | 7.9% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 17.0% | 13.9% | 6.6% | 1.7% |
| Jack Wigmore | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 24.2% | 21.4% | 9.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 12.6% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 17.4% | 16.3% | 14.5% | 9.0% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Megan Miller | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 8.5% | 21.8% | 57.5% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 5.9% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 17.9% | 16.9% | 9.4% | 2.9% |
| Abbi Barnette | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 15.9% | 33.6% | 28.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.