Race 15B

toni-deutsch

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Margaret Kilvert 9.0% 7.5% 7.8% 9.5% 7.9% 8.4% 7.6% 6.4% 7.6% 6.9% 6.8% 6.3% 4.4% 2.9% 1.0%
Kate Shaner 6.9% 5.6% 8.4% 8.1% 7.2% 8.6% 6.4% 7.3% 6.2% 9.6% 8.0% 6.4% 6.5% 4.0% 0.8%
Kelsey Shakin 6.9% 6.9% 7.4% 6.3% 7.9% 6.0% 7.2% 8.5% 7.8% 8.8% 9.0% 7.4% 4.8% 4.3% 0.8%
Victoria McGruer 4.8% 4.5% 5.4% 5.4% 6.1% 7.0% 6.1% 5.9% 8.2% 7.1% 9.5% 9.2% 10.7% 8.5% 1.6%
Lydia Grasberger 10.8% 11.2% 8.6% 9.9% 6.8% 8.5% 10.2% 7.4% 7.3% 6.0% 5.0% 5.1% 1.8% 1.4% 0.0%
Kayla Ellis 7.6% 9.3% 7.6% 7.8% 7.4% 9.9% 9.7% 8.0% 8.4% 6.2% 6.6% 6.2% 3.6% 0.9% 0.8%
Sophie Podlich 2.4% 1.5% 1.5% 2.0% 2.2% 2.0% 1.7% 3.0% 3.2% 3.8% 4.5% 7.9% 13.2% 23.1% 28.0%
Isabella Loosbrock 15.5% 13.9% 12.2% 10.6% 9.9% 8.8% 7.4% 6.4% 5.8% 4.0% 2.1% 1.3% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Mary Paz 6.0% 7.5% 7.7% 7.2% 9.6% 6.7% 8.5% 8.7% 7.6% 7.3% 6.8% 7.6% 5.8% 2.4% 0.6%
Taylor Gavula 8.3% 7.7% 9.9% 8.3% 9.4% 8.3% 8.2% 7.6% 7.5% 7.9% 5.3% 5.3% 3.9% 2.0% 0.4%
Grace Cherouny 0.9% 1.3% 0.6% 1.2% 1.3% 1.1% 1.5% 2.4% 1.9% 2.1% 4.1% 5.3% 7.5% 18.8% 50.0%
Claire Huebner 6.4% 5.6% 6.8% 8.5% 7.2% 7.1% 7.6% 8.0% 7.4% 7.2% 9.5% 7.0% 6.3% 4.6% 0.8%
Greta Farrell 5.1% 6.3% 4.2% 6.0% 5.2% 6.2% 7.4% 6.9% 7.7% 9.3% 9.4% 8.7% 9.6% 5.6% 2.4%
Alexandra Maurillo 6.9% 8.1% 9.1% 7.4% 8.0% 7.9% 6.5% 9.0% 8.2% 7.3% 6.4% 6.7% 4.6% 2.8% 1.1%
Meredith Morran 2.5% 3.1% 2.8% 1.8% 3.9% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.2% 6.5% 7.0% 9.6% 15.4% 18.5% 11.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.