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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.43+3.26vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.38+2.23vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.96+2.50vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52+0.11vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.42+1.63vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.72-0.09vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.29-0.25vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.39-3.83vs Predicted
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9Wentworth Institute of Technology0.87-1.06vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.95-3.43vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire0.27-3.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.26Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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4.23Harvard University2.380.2%1st Place
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5.5Bowdoin College1.960.1%1st Place
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4.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.2%1st Place
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6.63Northeastern University1.420.1%1st Place
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5.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.720.1%1st Place
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6.75Northeastern University1.290.1%1st Place
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4.17Tufts University2.390.2%1st Place
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7.94Wentworth Institute of Technology0.870.0%1st Place
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7.57Tufts University0.950.0%1st Place
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8.94University of New Hampshire0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Vasiliou | 14.3% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Dylan Farrell | 16.4% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Philip Koch | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 1.9% |
| Zachary Hall | 15.9% | 16.1% | 12.9% | 15.1% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Chris Colbeth | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 12.9% | 7.1% |
| Kyle Joba-Woodruff | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 4.4% |
| Donal Ryan | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 12.1% | 8.0% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 15.9% | 15.3% | 17.0% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Eley | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 18.3% | 21.2% |
| Pere Puig | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 18.5% | 16.0% |
| River Iannaccone | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 18.1% | 40.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.