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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.38+3.34vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.43+2.16vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.72+3.05vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52+0.12vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.42+1.65vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.29+0.96vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.96-1.88vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.39-3.83vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology0.87-2.07vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.95-3.43vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire0.27-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.34Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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4.16Bowdoin College2.430.2%1st Place
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6.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.720.1%1st Place
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4.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.2%1st Place
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6.65Northeastern University1.420.1%1st Place
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6.96Northeastern University1.290.0%1st Place
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5.12Bowdoin College1.960.1%1st Place
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4.17Tufts University2.390.2%1st Place
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7.93Wentworth Institute of Technology0.870.0%1st Place
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7.57Tufts University0.950.0%1st Place
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8.93University of New Hampshire0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Farrell | 13.8% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 16.2% | 16.3% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Joba-Woodruff | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 3.9% |
| Zachary Hall | 16.1% | 15.6% | 12.7% | 15.9% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Chris Colbeth | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 7.4% |
| Donal Ryan | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 9.3% |
| Philip Koch | 11.4% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 15.8% | 15.6% | 15.7% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Eley | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 17.8% | 21.0% |
| Pere Puig | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 17.5% | 16.0% |
| River Iannaccone | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 19.7% | 38.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.