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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.43+3.26vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52+1.94vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.42+3.81vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.95+3.89vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.39-0.74vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.72-0.11vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.96-1.91vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.38-4.81vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.29-3.06vs Predicted
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11Wentworth Institute of Technology0.87-3.21vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire0.27-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.26Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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3.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.2%1st Place
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6.81Northeastern University1.420.1%1st Place
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7.89Tufts University0.950.0%1st Place
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4.26Tufts University2.390.2%1st Place
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5.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.720.1%1st Place
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5.09Bowdoin College1.960.1%1st Place
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4.19Harvard University2.380.2%1st Place
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6.94Northeastern University1.290.1%1st Place
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7.79Wentworth Institute of Technology0.870.0%1st Place
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8.95University of New Hampshire0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Vasiliou | 13.7% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Zachary Hall | 18.1% | 15.4% | 14.3% | 14.7% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Chris Colbeth | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 7.8% |
| Pere Puig | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 16.9% | 19.7% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 16.0% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Kyle Joba-Woodruff | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 3.3% |
| Philip Koch | 10.5% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Dylan Farrell | 15.2% | 16.0% | 15.5% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Donal Ryan | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 8.2% |
| Benjamin Eley | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 20.1% | 17.9% |
| River Iannaccone | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 19.6% | 39.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.