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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.43+3.25vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.38+2.22vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.72+3.05vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52+0.12vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.39-0.76vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.42+0.65vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.95+0.55vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.96-2.81vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.29-2.02vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire0.27-2.98vs Predicted
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13Wentworth Institute of Technology0.87-5.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.25Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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4.22Harvard University2.380.2%1st Place
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6.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.720.1%1st Place
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4.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.2%1st Place
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4.24Tufts University2.390.2%1st Place
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6.65Northeastern University1.420.1%1st Place
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7.55Tufts University0.950.0%1st Place
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5.19Bowdoin College1.960.1%1st Place
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6.98Northeastern University1.290.1%1st Place
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9.02University of New Hampshire0.270.0%1st Place
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7.73Wentworth Institute of Technology0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Vasiliou | 13.9% | 14.5% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Dylan Farrell | 15.2% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Joba-Woodruff | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 4.2% |
| Zachary Hall | 16.5% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 16.8% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Chris Colbeth | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 8.3% |
| Pere Puig | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 18.9% | 15.0% |
| Philip Koch | 9.7% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Donal Ryan | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 10.3% |
| River Iannaccone | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 17.6% | 42.5% |
| Benjamin Eley | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 20.0% | 16.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.