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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.38+3.34vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.42+4.59vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.43+1.33vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52+0.09vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.39-0.73vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.72-0.10vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.96-1.89vs Predicted
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8Wentworth Institute of Technology0.87-0.21vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.29-1.97vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire0.27-1.00vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.95-3.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.34Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.59Northeastern University1.420.1%1st Place
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4.33Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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4.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.2%1st Place
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4.27Tufts University2.390.2%1st Place
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5.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.720.1%1st Place
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5.11Bowdoin College1.960.1%1st Place
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7.79Wentworth Institute of Technology0.870.0%1st Place
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7.03Northeastern University1.290.0%1st Place
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9.0University of New Hampshire0.270.0%1st Place
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7.54Tufts University0.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Farrell | 13.2% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Chris Colbeth | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 6.3% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 14.4% | 14.0% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Zachary Hall | 16.4% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 14.7% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 17.0% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Joba-Woodruff | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 4.3% |
| Philip Koch | 10.7% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Benjamin Eley | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 20.1% | 18.0% |
| Donal Ryan | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 10.1% |
| River Iannaccone | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 16.7% | 43.1% |
| Pere Puig | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 16.2% | 17.5% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.