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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.38+3.38vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.96+3.29vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52+1.11vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.95+3.92vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.39-0.66vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.43-1.80vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.72-1.34vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.29-1.20vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology0.87-2.08vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.42-4.55vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.27-4.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.38Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.29Bowdoin College1.960.1%1st Place
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4.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.2%1st Place
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7.92Tufts University0.950.0%1st Place
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4.34Tufts University2.390.2%1st Place
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4.2Bowdoin College2.430.2%1st Place
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5.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.720.1%1st Place
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6.8Northeastern University1.290.1%1st Place
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7.92Wentworth Institute of Technology0.870.0%1st Place
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6.45Northeastern University1.420.1%1st Place
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8.93University of New Hampshire0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Farrell | 13.0% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Philip Koch | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Zachary Hall | 15.7% | 16.0% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Pere Puig | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 19.7% | 18.3% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 15.9% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 16.3% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Kyle Joba-Woodruff | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% |
| Donal Ryan | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 8.4% |
| Benjamin Eley | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 19.3% | 20.7% |
| Chris Colbeth | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 6.5% |
| River Iannaccone | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 19.7% | 39.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.