Race 1B

fj-invitational

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Matthew Kaplan 31.0% 23.5% 18.2% 13.6% 7.8% 3.9% 1.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Karnovsky 22.5% 21.4% 18.0% 13.5% 10.3% 7.3% 4.7% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Catherine Price 7.3% 7.9% 9.5% 12.9% 10.9% 15.3% 14.8% 11.8% 7.9% 1.6% 0.1%
Owen Beringer 6.0% 7.2% 8.1% 8.2% 12.6% 14.2% 14.7% 15.3% 9.4% 3.6% 0.7%
Christopher Keller 7.7% 10.9% 9.3% 12.2% 12.7% 14.0% 12.2% 11.8% 7.4% 1.5% 0.3%
John Zupkus 1.4% 1.6% 1.8% 3.8% 4.3% 4.0% 6.7% 12.4% 24.2% 26.5% 13.3%
Robert Rose 10.0% 11.5% 12.8% 12.7% 15.2% 11.8% 12.8% 6.6% 5.2% 1.2% 0.2%
Sarah Caso 4.8% 4.0% 6.2% 8.4% 9.5% 11.8% 13.3% 18.1% 14.3% 8.0% 1.6%
Logan Russell 8.3% 10.6% 13.8% 12.0% 13.0% 13.0% 12.4% 9.1% 5.7% 1.7% 0.4%
Sarah Owen 0.5% 0.7% 1.5% 1.8% 2.5% 2.4% 4.3% 7.3% 14.2% 32.1% 32.7%
Morgan Tanski 0.5% 0.7% 0.8% 0.9% 1.2% 2.3% 3.0% 5.1% 11.0% 23.8% 50.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.