Race 2B

fj-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Robert Rose 7.9% 9.8% 12.1% 12.7% 14.9% 14.7% 13.7% 8.8% 4.3% 0.9% 0.2%
Sarah Caso 4.1% 4.0% 6.3% 8.4% 7.9% 10.5% 13.0% 21.9% 15.0% 7.1% 1.8%
John Zupkus 2.0% 1.5% 2.8% 2.0% 3.7% 4.2% 7.0% 10.2% 25.2% 26.4% 15.0%
Christopher Keller 6.6% 8.5% 9.2% 11.2% 12.7% 16.1% 14.8% 11.8% 5.9% 3.2% 0.0%
Matthew Kaplan 31.4% 24.7% 17.6% 11.2% 7.7% 4.2% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Catherine Price 7.7% 10.0% 9.5% 13.2% 13.0% 14.0% 12.9% 10.2% 7.1% 2.3% 0.1%
Nicholas Karnovsky 24.2% 21.3% 18.7% 12.1% 11.4% 5.9% 3.8% 1.5% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Owen Beringer 6.5% 8.4% 10.0% 13.2% 10.8% 13.4% 13.0% 12.5% 9.9% 1.9% 0.4%
Logan Russell 8.4% 10.2% 12.0% 14.6% 13.2% 11.9% 12.9% 9.4% 5.6% 1.2% 0.6%
Sarah Owen 0.7% 0.7% 1.4% 0.9% 2.9% 2.6% 4.0% 8.2% 14.2% 32.8% 31.6%
Morgan Tanski 0.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.5% 1.8% 2.5% 2.7% 4.7% 11.5% 24.2% 50.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.