Race 3B

fj-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Robert Rose 8.0% 10.4% 12.5% 12.9% 15.0% 13.9% 10.7% 10.2% 4.8% 1.5% 0.1%
Matthew Kaplan 32.3% 23.0% 18.7% 11.5% 7.8% 4.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Owen Beringer 6.3% 6.9% 8.6% 10.5% 10.8% 11.8% 15.7% 15.5% 9.7% 3.6% 0.6%
Catherine Price 6.7% 9.3% 9.6% 11.5% 13.9% 13.7% 14.8% 10.6% 6.6% 3.0% 0.3%
Nicholas Karnovsky 20.9% 23.9% 16.8% 14.0% 8.9% 8.0% 4.7% 2.1% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Logan Russell 9.8% 9.9% 12.2% 14.5% 12.9% 12.3% 11.6% 10.5% 4.7% 1.5% 0.1%
John Zupkus 1.9% 3.0% 2.3% 2.9% 3.4% 5.6% 7.4% 11.8% 24.5% 25.3% 11.9%
Sarah Caso 4.9% 3.6% 6.6% 7.8% 10.2% 11.5% 13.0% 16.9% 16.7% 6.7% 2.1%
Christopher Keller 7.8% 8.8% 10.6% 11.7% 12.9% 13.7% 12.4% 12.4% 6.4% 2.1% 1.2%
Morgan Tanski 0.5% 0.4% 0.7% 1.1% 1.8% 1.8% 3.4% 3.5% 10.8% 22.2% 53.8%
Sarah Owen 0.9% 0.8% 1.4% 1.6% 2.4% 3.2% 4.6% 6.1% 15.1% 34.0% 29.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.