Race 5B

women-regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jessica Claflin 10.9% 9.5% 11.4% 12.4% 11.3% 11.5% 9.7% 10.5% 7.0% 3.4% 1.8% 0.4% 0.2%
Marlena Fauer 21.9% 18.4% 16.2% 14.5% 10.5% 7.0% 5.6% 3.8% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Kelsey Wheeler 10.3% 13.8% 13.6% 12.3% 10.6% 12.5% 8.5% 9.0% 5.5% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Natalie Salk 16.7% 16.7% 14.1% 13.5% 12.9% 8.5% 8.2% 4.4% 3.0% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1%
Carolyn Naughton 11.2% 9.4% 11.5% 11.2% 10.3% 10.8% 13.2% 8.4% 6.9% 4.8% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Chanel Miller 11.1% 11.4% 11.3% 10.1% 12.9% 12.3% 8.4% 9.8% 6.2% 4.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Paige Fagan 0.8% 2.1% 1.6% 1.3% 2.6% 2.8% 3.4% 4.9% 7.8% 11.4% 18.4% 24.0% 18.9%
Emily McNeil 4.8% 6.7% 4.6% 5.4% 6.6% 8.5% 12.5% 12.7% 15.2% 12.3% 5.9% 4.0% 0.8%
Caitlin Watson 6.5% 6.0% 7.7% 8.2% 9.2% 10.3% 12.8% 11.3% 12.2% 9.2% 4.8% 1.5% 0.3%
Whitney Washburn 0.6% 0.7% 0.9% 1.7% 1.2% 2.6% 1.8% 3.2% 3.9% 9.0% 16.8% 21.0% 36.6%
Alexi Schwartzkopff 1.3% 0.9% 1.7% 2.4% 2.8% 4.1% 4.1% 6.2% 9.9% 16.8% 21.3% 17.7% 10.8%
Caitlin Goodrich 0.6% 0.6% 0.8% 2.0% 1.7% 1.3% 3.3% 4.2% 5.4% 8.6% 16.7% 24.1% 30.7%
Laura Cuccio 3.3% 3.8% 4.6% 5.0% 7.4% 7.8% 8.5% 11.6% 15.9% 14.7% 9.8% 6.1% 1.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.