← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University0.26+3.02vs Predicted
-
2North Carolina State University1.40+0.32vs Predicted
-
3The Citadel0.19+1.23vs Predicted
-
4Clemson University0.72-0.73vs Predicted
-
5University of South Carolina-0.41+0.10vs Predicted
-
6Clemson University-0.15-1.33vs Predicted
-
7Duke University-1.01-0.85vs Predicted
-
8University of North Carolina-2.36+0.02vs Predicted
-
9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.68-1.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.02North Carolina State University0.2611.4%1st Place
-
2.32North Carolina State University1.4036.9%1st Place
-
4.23The Citadel0.1910.9%1st Place
-
3.27Clemson University0.7219.9%1st Place
-
5.1University of South Carolina-0.415.9%1st Place
-
4.67Clemson University-0.158.2%1st Place
-
6.15Duke University-1.013.8%1st Place
-
8.02University of North Carolina-2.360.9%1st Place
-
7.22University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.682.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Evelyn Hannah | 11.4% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 16.3% | 16.8% | 13.3% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
Robert Chase | 36.9% | 25.2% | 18.8% | 11.2% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Kenneth Buck | 10.9% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 16.2% | 16.6% | 14.8% | 9.7% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
Bryson Eaton | 19.9% | 21.4% | 17.4% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
Andrew Ettlemyer | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 17.9% | 17.3% | 10.3% | 2.1% |
Charlie Bergendahl | 8.2% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 16.1% | 16.9% | 14.4% | 5.5% | 1.7% |
Jack Wigmore | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 14.4% | 22.9% | 22.2% | 9.4% |
Megan Miller | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 19.1% | 59.0% |
Abbi Barnette | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 14.4% | 34.8% | 26.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.