Race 4B

fj-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Matthew Kaplan 29.4% 24.5% 18.1% 14.8% 7.2% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Keller 8.3% 9.0% 10.0% 11.9% 14.7% 13.4% 13.1% 10.7% 6.7% 1.8% 0.4%
Logan Russell 8.5% 9.6% 11.0% 13.5% 12.9% 13.3% 14.5% 10.8% 4.6% 1.3% 0.0%
Catherine Price 7.4% 7.3% 11.2% 10.3% 13.6% 15.2% 14.8% 11.1% 6.8% 2.0% 0.3%
Sarah Caso 4.1% 5.6% 5.8% 6.8% 8.5% 12.1% 11.5% 19.7% 15.9% 8.9% 1.1%
Owen Beringer 5.9% 7.2% 9.3% 10.7% 11.7% 14.1% 14.9% 12.9% 8.5% 3.9% 0.9%
Nicholas Karnovsky 23.6% 23.6% 16.6% 12.3% 11.1% 6.8% 3.3% 1.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Robert Rose 10.0% 9.8% 13.6% 14.1% 14.1% 11.3% 12.4% 9.8% 3.7% 0.9% 0.3%
John Zupkus 1.8% 2.0% 2.3% 3.3% 3.0% 3.9% 7.5% 12.0% 26.5% 24.8% 12.9%
Sarah Owen 0.5% 1.0% 1.3% 1.4% 2.2% 3.3% 4.2% 5.8% 15.6% 32.2% 32.5%
Morgan Tanski 0.5% 0.4% 0.8% 0.9% 1.0% 2.5% 2.6% 5.2% 10.4% 24.1% 51.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.