Race 5B

fj-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

18.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Matthew Kaplan 29.0% 24.1% 20.6% 12.7% 7.2% 4.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Logan Russell 9.7% 10.7% 11.2% 13.5% 14.0% 13.1% 12.7% 9.4% 4.3% 1.2% 0.2%
Christopher Keller 7.7% 8.2% 9.1% 11.4% 11.8% 15.0% 15.0% 11.8% 7.5% 2.3% 0.2%
Sarah Owen 0.8% 0.5% 0.7% 1.6% 2.4% 2.9% 3.4% 6.3% 12.5% 34.0% 34.9%
Owen Beringer 6.7% 8.9% 8.1% 9.6% 12.8% 13.0% 11.9% 14.2% 11.1% 3.3% 0.4%
Nicholas Karnovsky 22.0% 21.5% 17.6% 12.6% 10.2% 8.2% 4.8% 2.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Morgan Tanski 0.6% 0.9% 1.3% 1.6% 1.9% 1.6% 1.8% 4.6% 10.5% 25.6% 49.6%
Catherine Price 8.3% 8.3% 11.6% 12.9% 13.7% 11.5% 14.0% 11.8% 5.8% 2.0% 0.1%
Robert Rose 8.9% 10.4% 11.0% 12.7% 13.9% 13.6% 13.1% 8.8% 5.5% 1.8% 0.3%
Sarah Caso 4.7% 4.9% 6.0% 7.7% 8.5% 11.2% 13.9% 18.9% 15.0% 7.5% 1.7%
John Zupkus 1.6% 1.6% 2.8% 3.7% 3.6% 5.0% 8.3% 11.9% 26.9% 22.0% 12.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.