Race 6B

fj-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Matthew Kaplan 31.5% 22.7% 18.6% 12.0% 8.9% 4.1% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Keller 8.0% 9.4% 10.2% 11.8% 13.5% 14.3% 12.2% 11.9% 6.5% 1.8% 0.4%
Owen Beringer 6.3% 7.5% 6.8% 10.2% 11.8% 13.1% 15.2% 15.5% 9.8% 3.4% 0.4%
Nicholas Karnovsky 19.9% 19.3% 20.0% 16.1% 10.5% 7.4% 4.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Sarah Caso 4.4% 5.7% 5.4% 6.1% 9.8% 10.2% 13.9% 16.4% 17.8% 8.3% 2.0%
Robert Rose 9.4% 11.1% 11.5% 13.5% 12.6% 14.7% 11.0% 9.1% 5.9% 1.2% 0.0%
Catherine Price 9.3% 9.6% 11.6% 11.9% 13.2% 13.2% 12.4% 10.9% 5.8% 1.9% 0.2%
John Zupkus 1.5% 2.1% 2.1% 3.0% 3.1% 6.1% 8.5% 12.8% 23.3% 24.4% 13.1%
Logan Russell 8.6% 10.7% 12.4% 13.0% 12.9% 11.1% 14.1% 10.1% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4%
Sarah Owen 0.5% 1.1% 1.0% 1.9% 1.8% 3.4% 4.1% 6.9% 14.7% 31.5% 33.1%
Morgan Tanski 0.6% 0.8% 0.4% 0.5% 1.9% 2.4% 3.0% 4.0% 10.4% 25.6% 50.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.