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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.40+1.33vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.87+0.95vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University0.26+0.99vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.19+0.14vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-0.15-0.25vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina-0.41-0.77vs Predicted
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7Duke University-1.01-0.74vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-2.36+0.09vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.68-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.33North Carolina State University1.4035.2%1st Place
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2.95Clemson University0.8724.2%1st Place
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3.99North Carolina State University0.2612.2%1st Place
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4.14The Citadel0.1910.7%1st Place
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4.75Clemson University-0.158.1%1st Place
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5.23University of South Carolina-0.415.2%1st Place
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6.26Duke University-1.012.4%1st Place
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8.09University of North Carolina-2.360.4%1st Place
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7.26University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.681.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Robert Chase | 35.2% | 27.2% | 18.1% | 11.8% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Mitchell Hnatt | 24.2% | 21.2% | 20.5% | 14.9% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Evelyn Hannah | 12.2% | 14.2% | 15.3% | 17.2% | 17.2% | 13.2% | 7.8% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
Kenneth Buck | 10.7% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 15.6% | 17.2% | 14.8% | 9.3% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
Charlie Bergendahl | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 15.9% | 18.1% | 13.0% | 8.1% | 1.4% |
Andrew Ettlemyer | 5.2% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 16.5% | 20.1% | 16.8% | 9.8% | 3.0% |
Jack Wigmore | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 24.6% | 22.9% | 8.9% |
Megan Miller | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 9.7% | 20.0% | 59.1% |
Abbi Barnette | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 16.2% | 33.3% | 26.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.