Race 6B

women-regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Natalie Salk 17.2% 15.6% 13.5% 13.0% 11.8% 11.0% 9.2% 3.9% 3.5% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Kelsey Wheeler 12.5% 11.4% 13.4% 13.6% 10.4% 10.8% 10.1% 8.2% 5.3% 2.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Carolyn Naughton 8.5% 11.1% 10.0% 12.1% 11.6% 11.2% 11.8% 10.7% 7.2% 3.5% 1.8% 0.3% 0.2%
Laura Cuccio 3.5% 3.9% 5.3% 5.5% 7.1% 7.5% 8.8% 12.7% 14.9% 15.0% 10.7% 3.9% 1.2%
Marlena Fauer 21.1% 19.5% 17.8% 11.9% 10.6% 8.5% 4.5% 3.7% 2.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Chanel Miller 10.7% 10.8% 10.6% 11.4% 11.6% 12.8% 10.7% 8.4% 7.0% 4.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Emily McNeil 5.5% 5.7% 5.7% 6.5% 7.1% 7.3% 10.8% 11.9% 14.3% 13.1% 8.3% 3.3% 0.5%
Paige Fagan 0.9% 1.3% 1.4% 2.3% 2.3% 1.6% 3.4% 5.4% 7.7% 13.2% 18.6% 24.0% 17.9%
Whitney Washburn 0.8% 0.8% 1.0% 1.1% 1.6% 1.6% 2.5% 3.3% 4.9% 8.1% 13.6% 23.5% 37.2%
Caitlin Watson 7.3% 5.8% 6.0% 8.7% 11.0% 10.0% 10.8% 13.3% 10.8% 8.6% 5.7% 1.6% 0.4%
Jessica Claflin 10.3% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 11.3% 12.6% 9.8% 8.2% 6.8% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.2%
Caitlin Goodrich 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 1.0% 1.6% 1.7% 3.3% 4.3% 6.0% 10.1% 18.3% 20.7% 30.8%
Alexi Schwartzkopff 1.2% 1.2% 2.3% 1.2% 2.0% 3.4% 4.3% 6.0% 9.6% 16.3% 19.2% 21.7% 11.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.